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Title:      TEXT MINING SYSTEMS FOR PREDICTING MARKET RESPONSE TO NEWS
Author(s):      Marc-andré Mittermayer , Gerhard F. Knolmayer
ISBN:      978-972-8924-40-9
Editors:      Jörg Roth, Jairo Gutiérrez and Ajith P. Abraham (series editors: Piet Kommers, Pedro Isaías and Nian-Shing Chen)
Year:      2007
Edition:      Single
Keywords:      Text Mining; Text Categorization; Forecasting; Financial Markets; Performance Evaluation; Comparison of Systems.
Type:      Short Paper
First Page:      164
Last Page:      169
Language:      English
Cover:      cover          
Full Contents:      click to dowload Download
Paper Abstract:      Over the last 10 years, several prototypes for predicting the short-term market reactions to news based on text mining techniques have been developed. Thus far no detailed comparison of the systems and their performance is available. This paper describes the main systems developed to forecast price trends and presents a framework for comparing the approaches. The prototypes differ in the text mining methods applied and the data sets used for performance evaluation. Some (mostly implicit) assumptions of these evaluations are rather unrealistic with respect to properties of financial markets and the simulated performance results cannot be achieved in reality. Best performance results are obtained with NewsCATS and we summarize main differences between earlier prototypes and this system.
   

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