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Title:
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A TECHNOLOGICAL APPROACH FOR CRISIS PREVENTION |
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Author(s):
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José Miguel Castillo , Concepción Cortés , Julián González , Armando Benito |
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ISBN:
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978-972-8939-07-6 |
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Editors:
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Piet Kommers and Pedro Isaías |
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Year:
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2010 |
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Edition:
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Single |
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Keywords:
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Crisis prevention, Multi-agent systems, Prospective, Scenarios. |
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Type:
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Short Paper |
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First Page:
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447 |
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Last Page:
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450 |
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Language:
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English |
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Cover:
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Full Contents:
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click to dowload 
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Paper Abstract:
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In order to reduce the impact of bad situations as well as getting the most of profiting periods, it is vital to research in the field of techniques that allow us to foresee the future. Techniques like Prediction or Projection in which tendencies of historical data are applied are very common but in most of cases not very efficient. It is not usual to meet a critical social system which evolves according to predictable guidelines. For instance, the collapse of transports, the economic crisis, natural disasters or terrorist attacks are examples of scenarios of crisis difficult to estimate with techniques of Prediction and Projection. This paper will show a way to foresee future possible scenarios based on Prospective techniques. |
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